17 days of running horribly bad.
This is driving me nuts. How can I run this bad for so long? Has anyone seen a graph like this? The red line is where i should be based on EV calculations. The green line is my actual profit line. I'm losing my freaking mind guys.
Comments
Holdem Manager (HEM) calculates EV in tourneys through ICM calculations that assign your stack a percentage value of the overall prize pool. Thus, the red line in the graph represents the $ value of the all showdown hands in a tournament while your green line represents actual $ won. Yes, the EV line is not as clear cut in touneys as it is for cash games (because every dollar won and lost in cash games is fixed $ amount while the $ lost in tournies is theoretical). However, for tournaments, your red line does give you an accurate indication of how you are getting your money in and what kind of statistical outcome you are being dealt. Examining my graph, for example, I'm clearly not winning my spots where i'm all in and ahead.
To illustrate how to read such graph further, if I were to only push all in with 72 off, my red line would be severely negative in money value while my green line would actually be quite close to the red line (above or below depending on how lucky my 72 shoves are).
Over thousands and thousands of games it will happen sometime, very standard. Rather then accept it all as runbad take a step back, review some of your games, watch some videos, come talk/get another coaching session from me about poker etc. (when I say talk I swear if you come complaining I will smack you down so hard ^_^)
While downswings are always from run bad a lot of times the run bad messes with your head having you second guess legitimate spots and causing you to either be hesitant the next time the spot comes up or trying too hard to find spots.
yo pinko...
sick just saw the leaderboards.. and i see u dip down below 11k again.. and it hit me.... youve being hovering around that mark ages... pretty sad man ... i know u put in hours a day... 
anyway hope the swings get better ... and one more tihng does this mean i should play you more since ur running so bad ?
Its been a lot of breaking even. I dunno man. I think I have worse luck than the average grinder. I know people go through stretches of bad beats but this is starting to get ridiculous. Past couple days have felt better, but its like I never know if it will hold up or not.
sucks, could be much worse though. we all hit those stretches. this is the time where you need to play your best, don't go on tilt, just play well. you will break through, the poker gods will let you run normal again sometime soon. just fight through it.